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Survei LSI Denny JA: Elektabilitas Jokowi-Ma’ruf Selisih 20% dari Prabowo-Sandi | Databoks
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Survei LSI Denny JA: Elektabilitas Jokowi-Ma’ruf Selisih 20% dari Prabowo-Sandi

Elektabilitas Jokowi-Ma’ruf dan Prabowo-Sandi Menurut Survei LSI Denny JA (20-25 Mar 2019)

Sumber : LSI Denny JA, 2 Apr 2019

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2/4/2019, 18.26 WIB

 Hasil survei terbaru LSI Denny JA yang dirilis, Selasa (2/4/2019) menunjukkan pasangan capres/cawapres Jokowi-Ma’ruf unggul dengan selisih 20% dari lawannya, pasangan Prabowo-Sandi. Tingkat keterpilihan pasangan nomor urut 01 di kisaran 56,8-63,8% sementara pasangan nomor urut 02 hanya 36,8-43,2%. Elektabilitas pasangan capres/cawapres kali ini disajikan dalam bentuk range (kisaran) karena telah memperhitungkan margin of error serta asumsi golput (tidak memilih) secara proporsional.

Berdasarkan hasil survei tersebut, pasangan Jokowi-Ma’ruf unggul di pemilih laki-laki maupun perempuan, serta unggul di kalangan pemilih muslim maupun minoritas. Berdasarkan usia responden, pasangan Prabowo-Sandi hanya unggul di pemilih dengan umur di bawah 19 tahun, sementara Jokowi-Ma’ruf unggul di golongan usia lainnya.

Survei LSI dilakukan pada 18-26 Maret 2019 dengan melibatkan 1.200 responden di 34 provinsi  serta menggunakan metode multistage random sampling. Adapun wawancara tatap muka responden menggunakan kuesioner. Sementara margin of error survei +/- 2,8%.   

 

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